Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 5.340647 5.874448 6.473001 7.201318 8.074032 9.100187 10.419961
2025-11-16 4.464746 5.153623 5.993443 7.120554 8.641323 10.702508 13.873375
2025-11-23 4.028843 4.800146 5.795210 7.228344 9.348623 12.592337 18.526093
2025-11-30 3.689940 4.495256 5.577242 7.220302 9.835823 14.276220 23.884064
2025-12-07 3.340322 4.125167 5.206595 6.905534 9.745796 14.938497 27.768156
2025-12-14 3.055240 3.811478 4.873396 6.585667 9.561147 15.344860 31.453421
2025-12-21 2.893442 3.653086 4.744156 6.560106 9.872825 16.853627 40.008618
2025-12-28 2.747646 3.503699 4.610396 6.503092 10.107367 18.296647 50.964903
2026-01-04 2.586201 3.319079 4.405160 6.296247 10.003752 18.888569 59.921867
2026-01-11 2.491246 3.225389 4.331945 6.307592 10.345426 20.824841 83.058855
2026-01-18 2.434637 3.184287 4.336814 6.456886 11.017224 24.153664 142.168301
2026-01-25 2.518416 3.361844 4.711977 7.356735 13.732088 37.620550 3002.176859
2026-02-01 2.414532 3.248673 4.605190 7.330704 14.227620 43.606410 NaN
2026-02-08 2.286898 3.092192 4.414906 7.116002 14.173024 47.096861 NaN
2026-02-15 2.217834 3.025070 4.374639 7.212494 15.081036 59.301462 NaN
2026-02-22 2.140708 2.939246 4.292444 7.203541 15.671995 72.076968 NaN
2026-03-01 2.030133 2.791974 4.087315 6.889876 15.143108 72.746713 NaN
2026-03-08 1.927186 2.652764 3.888712 6.571173 14.524482 71.528709 NaN
2026-03-15 1.869696 2.586527 3.820225 6.545703 14.947556 85.811941 NaN
2026-03-22 1.812655 2.518079 3.742660 6.488893 15.245703 101.729343 NaN
2026-03-29 1.741593 2.422828 3.608935 6.282779 14.910944 105.395721 NaN
2026-04-05 1.700839 2.377247 3.566506 6.294084 15.456223 135.538627 NaN
2026-04-12 1.678041 2.361081 3.578902 6.442852 16.661702 219.965315 NaN